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Column 100305 Luken

Monday, October 3, 2005

 

The resurrection of Mexico’s Carlos Salinas de Gortari

 

By Carlos Luken

 

Last year I wrote a column regarding former President Carlos Salinas de Gortari resurfacing in Mexico, after years of self-imposed exile in Ireland and Cuba. Salinas had returned, and craftily waded right back into Mexico’s political waters. And at the time it appeared he was not just in the middle of things, but running them.

 

His straightforward approach attracted media coverage that provoked political speculation and intrigues. Astutely Salinas again slipped back into public obscurity, except for appearances at family affairs such as the funerals of his father and his murdered brother.

 

Only six months before leaving office, in late 1994, Salinas was so popular that a possible reelection was rumored openly, an extraordinary occurrence in a country were non-reelection is as sacred as one of the Commandments. But within months after handing over the presidency to his handpicked successor, Ernesto Zedillo, Salinas had become Mexico’s worst scoundrel.

 

His political world also caved in as former confederates tried unsuccessfully to expel him from the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI). After six months it was apparent that Salinas would not be welcome in Zedillo’s Mexico. As such, he would have to keep distant and silent for six years.

 

His prospects dimmed in 1999, when PRI convention delegates selected Zedillo-backed Francisco Labastida to be the party’s presidential candidate, over Salinas’ favorite Roberto Madrazo. Labastida immediately proclaimed that the Salinas era was over, which was another message for him to stay away.

 

But with the PRI’s disarray following the 2000 election loss to Vicente Fox, Salinas made his move and oversaw the party’s rebuilding. Capitalizing on confusion, he first started by renovating the party’s ineffective leadership, backing Madrazo for the PRI presidency.  In order to further consolidate his power, Salinas prompted the selections of Elba Esther Gordillo as party secretary general, and former treasury minister Pedro Aspe as its finance director.

 

Having reacquired control over the PRI, Salinas became the direct benefactor and beneficiary of the party’s unexpected triumphs in the 2003 elections, with PRI candidates allegedly handpicked by the former president winning a majority in the lower chamber of congress.

 

Yet a decade after being disgraced, his name still brings bad memories to most Mexicans as he is blamed for everything from economic disaster to political intrigue.

 

And now Salinas has reappeared as a major political kingpin.

 

Today the PRI’s three most influential leaders are Salinas sidekicks Madrazo and Arturo Montiel, both presidential contenders, and Elba Esther Gordillo, the party’s mutinous ex-secretary general.

 

But Salinas has not limited his activities to the PRI. He initiated a rapport with the Fox administration through Gordillo’s supposed friendship with President and Mrs. Fox, and by meeting with then foreign minister Jorge Castaņeda at a well-publicized Brussels dinner.

 

In late September, on Mexican television, Salinas acknowledged overseeing a secret meeting at his home between Fox’s Finance Minister Francisco Gil Diaz and PRI leaders, to offer advice on tax reforms to be presented in Congress. The former president said he was helping Fox officials, by giving them the benefit of his experience. His remarks followed Gordillo's caustic disclosure of the meeting that both she and former PRI president Madrazo attended.

 

The administration’s initial response was a denial issued by Fox personally. Just days later Gil Diaz admitted meeting with the PRI president, secretary general and other high-ranking party officials in 2003, to procure accords on tax reforms. Gil Diaz said however that he had not informed Fox, because it would be "impractical" to keep the president abreast of his entire agenda.

 

Government spokesman Ruben Aguilar was forced to defend Gil Diaz, telling journalists that the finance minister supposedly “had a wide margin to carry out the tasks given him by the president, and to consult with whomever necessary." Aguilar refused to confirm Salinas' statements, and tried to downplay the ex-president’s involvement, calling him a "common citizen" with the right to free assembly.

 

Mexico's front-running leftwing presidential candidate, former Mexico City Mayor Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, blames free-market reforms implemented by Salinas for impoverishing millions and encouraging corruption. He refers to Salinas only as "the unmentionable," and claims that the unmentionable one is conspiring with Fox to stop his candidacy.  Although Lopez’s Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) refuses kinship with Salinas, reports are that the ex-president has made overtures to some PRD dissenters, and to smaller party leaders, in order to ease future political alliances.

 

Once more Salinas has positioned himself as an influential political powerbroker to be reckoned with, especially during the 2006 election campaigns that are already underway.

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Carlos Luken, a MexiData.info columnist, is a Mexico-based businessman and consultant.  He can be reached via e-mail at ilcmex@yahoo.com.