Monday,
October 26, 2009
Mexico's PRI Moves Closer to Regaining Power in 2012
Frontera NorteSur
Continuing
on a path towards centennial reconquest of power, Mexico's former ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) easily won
the October 18 municipal elections in the northern border state of Coahuila. While the PRI has long been the dominant political
force in Coahuila, even during the last nine years of National Action Party (PAN) governments at the federal level, the party
born from the blood of the 1910 Mexican Revolution dislodged rivals from the key cities of Torreon, San Pedro and Ciudad Acuņa
in voting last Sunday.
Coahuila's second largest city, after the state capital of Saltillo, Torreon has been governed
by the conservative PAN during the last seven years. Strategically located on highways leading to the US border, the old agricultural
center has been the scene of violent competition for control of local and international drug markets during the past five
years.
Eduardo
Olmos Castro will serve as the troubled city's new mayor.
Situated across from Del Rio, Texas, Ciudad Acuņa is a center
for border factories, called maquiladoras, as well as an exit point on smuggling routes into the US. In Ciudad Acuņa, Alberto
Aguirre, the mayoral candidate for a coalition formed between the PRI and the much smaller PANAL, beat Esther Talamas Hernandez,
wife of the outgoing mayor and candidate of the Coahuila Democratic Unity Party (UCD), a local organization that governed
the municipality for a number of years.
The PRI also won hands down in the border city of Piedras Negras. Far from
a sore loser, the PAN's Dr. Angel Humberto Garcia Reyes literally embraced winning opponent Jose Manuel Maldonado Maldonado
and announced his support for Piedras Negras' new mayor. "Pepe is my friend," Garcia said. "He beat me fair and square, and
I join his project."
Statewide, in an election with a turnout estimated at 52 percent of registered voters, the PRI
tallied nearly 60 percent of the vote. The victorious party was distantly trailed by the PAN, with about 25 percent of votes,
the UCD with 4.63 percent, and the Mexican Green Party with slightly above 3 percent – barely enough for the pro-death
penalty Greens to keep their legal registration.
Historically enduring a marginal presence in Coahuila, the left was
the biggest loser in the elections. In fact, three parties which supported opposition candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador
in the 2006 presidential election – the PRD, PT and Convergencia – did not even separately draw the required 3
percent of votes to maintain their registrations and public funding.
Coahuila's
election was the latest example of how the parties never managed to build on the surge of support for Lopez Obrador in Coahuila
and other northern states in 2006.
Two other small parties, the Social Democratic Party and PANAL, also lost their
legal status and were wiped from the current political map as a consequence of the ballot count.
The PRD lost San Pedro
in the Laguna region, one of its few pockets of support, to the PRI, but managed to eke out a victory in coalition with the
PAN and UCD in Castaņos, the scene of a 2006 incident in which Mexican soldiers raped dancers in a red-light district.
Local
elections were also held in the southern state of Tabasco on October 18. Here too the PRI swept the race, regaining some ground
from the PRD, the second-strongest party in the state. A weaker force in Tabasco, President Calderon's PAN nevertheless pulled
off victories in two cattle-ranching municipalities. According to the state electoral institute, 58.12 percent of registered
voters cast ballots.
Like Coahuila, Tabasco has been hit with a wave of narco-violence in recent years. Accusations
of vote-buying and violent confrontations between state and local cops marred the Tabasco race. The Coahuila election proceeded
without disruption, though the bodies of three murder victims were dumped in front of a polling station in Torreon just prior
to its opening for voting.
In the broader political panorama, the Sunday election results were more good news for the
PRI as the old ruling party primes itself to retake the presidency in 2012. Almost like icing on the 2009 cake, the October
victories in Coahuila and Tabasco closely follow the PRI's decisive win in the federal midterm elections last July.
In
contrast, the October 18 elections were sour news for the PAN and bitter tidings for the PRD and other center-left parties.
In
a time of economic and social crises the PAN and, to a far greater degree, the leftist parties have been riveted by internal
disputes, disunity and public scandals.
Attempting to extract themselves from the political tar pit, on October 19
leaders of the PRD, PT and Convergencia announced the reconstitution of the Broad
Progressive Front for elections in 2010 and 2012. Manuel Camacho Solis, a former Mexico City mayor for the PRI and lately
a prominent Lopez Obrador supporter, will act as coordinator for the reborn grouping.
Even though the PRI benefits
from the current weaknesses of its rivals, the party could pay a political price for moves underway in the Mexican Congress
to raise sales and income taxes as a way of staving off a worsening state fiscal crisis. In a grueling, nine-hour meeting
on October 19, PRI federal lawmakers were warned of political consequences for backing higher taxes during a deep recession.
"You
have to think about the poor people," said Isabel Perez, a PRI representative from Veracruz. "What am I going to tell my indigenous
people?"
Ruben Moreira, coordinator of the PRI group of legislators from Coahuila, voiced dismay at the prospect of
having to face down voters who were told during the just-concluded local election campaign that the PRI did not support higher
taxes.
"That's why we won the election yesterday," Moreira declared. "What do I tell them?"
At the end of the
debate, the PRI lawmakers voted by a margin of 124 to 41 to up the national value added tax (IVA) from 15 to 16 percent of
purchases. For border states the tax would increase from 10 to 11 percent if the proposal passes the full lower house of Congress.
Also on the table are tax hikes on income, bank deposits, telephones, tobacco, beer, and liquor.
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Sources:
Zocalo.com.mx, October 19, 2009. Articles by Enrique
Gonzalez Correa and Jose Luis Medrano. El Universal, October 18, 19, 20, 2009. Articles by Enrique Proa, Hilda Fernandez Valverde,
Roberto Barboza Sosa, Alberto Morales, and editorial staff. La Jornada, October
19 and 20 2009. Articles by Rene Lopez, Roberto Garduņo, Enrique Mendez, Leopoldo Ramos, and the Notimex news agency. Proceso/Apro,
October 18, 2009. Article by Armando Guzman.
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Frontera NorteSur (FNS)
Center for Latin American and Border Studies
New Mexico State University
Las Cruces, New Mexico
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Reprinted
with authorization from Frontera NorteSur, a free, on-line, U.S.-Mexico border news source; translation FNS
